Sunday, September 7, 2008

SPY, IWM, QQQQ - (08 Sept 2008)

I have been analyzing some charts of the major indexes over the weekend. Here are some charts of what I expect to happen if PPT doesn't mess around ;)

Lets start with SPY, based on the pattern on the stochastic indicator... I am expecting some retracement to about 128 before the continuation of the downtrend. But, do be advised to be prepared for the unexpected.


A Double Top pattern has emerged in IWM, the Doji bar on Friday indicates that this index might move sideways for a while or retrace back to the trend line above before continuing its journey towards the support at 65.88.



The recent sell off of QQQQ shows that the market is in a hurry to get somewhere. The stochastics reading shows "oversold", so a big move is coming soon. There could be a slight retracement to about 44.67, before this thing rolls over again to find its bottom.

As explained in my previous post, the strength of the Dollar is a determining factor here. If the Dollar keeps strengthening, QQQQ should theoretically weaken further until the dollar stabilizes.




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